Firm Fundamentals and Variance Risk Premiums
Abstract: We develop a tractable valuation model which shows that future asset returns are predictably related to two firm characteristics, book-to-market (bm) and return on equity (roe ), because these measures carry information about priced risk. The model we derive predicts a negative relation between expected variance returns embedded in option prices (variance risk premiums) and both bm and roe. We confirm this prediction using a variety of empirical specifications. Our results show that accounting-based characteristics simultaneously inform investors about cash flows as well as the priced risk of those cash flows. Number of Pages in PDF File: 55
Matthew Lyle, Jim Naughton
Lyle, Matthew, and Jim Naughton. 2018. Firm Fundamentals and Variance Risk Premiums.